Data-Driven Windsurfing Performance Evaluation Using Field Tests and Olympic Racing Data
- A multi-input full-state surrogate model (8 inputs → 1 output) has been developed using the co-Kriging regression algorithm, effectively fusing multi-fidelity datasets: field-test measurements and the Velocity Prediction Program (VPP) simulation data.
- The model delivers excellent prediction accuracy with RMSE < 1.5%.
- Input sensitivities can be quantified directly via the model's Jacobian, providing clear guidance on how to adjust the sailing inputs to accelerate it.
- A double-input surrogate model (true wind speed + true wind angle) has been created for polar diagrams using a tailored co-polynomial algorithm.
- It successfully corrects and refines the original VPP polar diagrams by incorporating real-world racing data.
- The approach is directly applicable to open Olympic data from SAP Sailing, enabling visualisation and performance comparison between competing teams.
References:
[1] Hou J, Liu G, Tan Q, Mok KP, Song W, Chan KY, et al. Velocity Prediction Program for Windsurfing: a Hierarchical Approach Integrating Biomechanical Insights.
Ocean Engineering. 312(119070), 2024 Nov.
[2] Forrester, A. I. J., Sobester, A. and Keane, A. J. Multi-fidelity optimization via surrogate modelling.
Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 463(2088), 3251–3269, 2007
[3] SAP Sailing. "Olympic Summer Games 2024 Paris - Men's Windsurfing Races/Tracking." Sapsailing.com, 2025.
sapsailing.com